Ray Fair

Treasurer
Yale University - John M. Musser Professor of Economics

Fair’s main research is in macroeconometrics, but he has also done work in the areas of finance, voting behavior, and aging in sports. He has made quarterly updates of his U.S. macroeconometric model and made forecasts since 1983. He has made four-year updates of his presidential vote share equation and made forecasts since 1980. He has estimated how fast people should slow down as they age if they remain in peak shape. His current research includes estimating the costs of contact in college and high school sports and in examining the history of infrastructure. People can use his website to estimate how fast they should be declining as they age. One can also compute predictions of U.S. presidential and congressional elections. And one can work on line with his macroeconometric models.